| This report should not be construed as providing investment
advice. It is for educational purposes only.
Before making any investment decision, you should always do your own
research or consult a investment professional. |
Estimates |
Estimates |
Estimates |
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| While I try to
be accurate, I assume no responsibility for any figure in this spreadsheet. |
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Q1 2025 |
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| See my website
on stocks or see my blog at the following sites. |
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https://spbrunner.com/stocks.html |
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https://spbrunner.blogspot.com/ |
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| Suncor Energy Inc |
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TSX: |
SU |
NYSE: |
SU |
https://www.suncor.com/ |
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Fiscal Yr: |
Dec 31 |
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| Year |
12/31/12 |
12/31/13 |
12/31/14 |
12/31/15 |
12/31/16 |
12/31/17 |
12/31/18 |
12/31/19 |
12/31/20 |
12/31/21 |
12/31/22 |
12/31/23 |
12/31/24 |
12/31/25 |
12/31/26 |
12/31/27 |
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Value |
Description |
#Y |
Item |
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Comments |
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| Accounting Rules |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
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Accounting Rules |
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| Petro-Can/Suncor August 2009 |
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| splits Suncor Date |
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| splits Suncor |
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| Split Petro-Can |
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| Orig Revenue SU |
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| Rev per Share |
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| P/S (Price/Sales) |
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| *Revenue in M CDN $ net of Royalities |
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| Orig Revenue PCA |
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| Old Rev per share |
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$54,906 |
<-12 mths |
0.05% |
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Net of Royalities. |
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| Revenue Suncor |
$38,616 |
$40,297 |
$40,490 |
$29,680 |
$26,968 |
$32,176 |
$38,986 |
$38,989 |
$24,662 |
$39,101 |
$58,467 |
$50,746 |
$54,881 |
$48,068 |
$47,561 |
$49,037 |
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35.54% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Revenue |
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SU |
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| Increase |
-2.95% |
4.35% |
0.48% |
-26.70% |
-9.14% |
19.31% |
21.16% |
0.01% |
-36.75% |
58.55% |
49.53% |
-13.21% |
8.15% |
-12.41% |
-1.05% |
3.10% |
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3.09% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Revenue |
35.54% |
SU |
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| 5 year Running Average |
$33,663 |
$35,705 |
$38,707 |
$37,775 |
$35,210 |
$33,922 |
$33,660 |
$33,360 |
$32,356 |
$34,783 |
$40,041 |
$42,393 |
$45,571 |
$50,253 |
$51,945 |
$50,059 |
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7.08% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Revenue |
40.76% |
SU |
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| Revenue per Share |
$25.35 |
$27.26 |
$28.04 |
$20.53 |
$16.17 |
$19.61 |
$24.60 |
$25.45 |
$16.17 |
$27.13 |
$43.71 |
$39.33 |
$44.10 |
$38.63 |
$38.22 |
$39.41 |
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1.65% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
5 yr Running Average |
17.74% |
SU |
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| Increase |
-0.70% |
7.51% |
2.86% |
-26.79% |
-21.23% |
21.27% |
25.49% |
3.44% |
-36.47% |
67.78% |
61.13% |
-10.02% |
12.13% |
-12.41% |
-1.05% |
3.10% |
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6.44% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
5 yr Running Average |
36.61% |
SU |
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| 5 year Running Average |
$24.26 |
$23.28 |
$25.62 |
$25.34 |
$23.47 |
$22.32 |
$21.79 |
$21.27 |
$20.40 |
$22.59 |
$27.41 |
$30.36 |
$34.09 |
$38.58 |
$40.80 |
$39.94 |
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4.63% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Revenue per Share |
57.30% |
SU |
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| P/S (Price/Sales) Med |
1.27 |
1.20 |
1.39 |
1.79 |
2.25 |
2.11 |
1.84 |
1.63 |
1.86 |
0.82 |
0.78 |
1.08 |
1.14 |
1.33 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
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11.62% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Revenue per Share |
73.29% |
SU |
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| P/S (Price/Sales) Close |
1.29 |
1.37 |
1.32 |
1.74 |
2.72 |
2.35 |
1.55 |
1.67 |
1.32 |
0.92 |
0.73 |
1.08 |
1.16 |
1.42 |
1.44 |
1.39 |
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2.90% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
5 yr Running Average |
33.04% |
SU |
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| * Revenues and
Other Income in M CDN $ after Royalities |
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P/S Med |
20 yr |
1.53 |
15 yr |
1.41 |
10 yr |
1.71 |
5 yr |
1.08 |
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-16.91% |
Diff M/C |
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9.89% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
5 yr Running Average |
60.26% |
SU |
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-$40,490 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$54,881 |
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-$38,989 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$54,881 |
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-$38,707 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$45,571 |
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-$33,360 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$45,571 |
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-$28.04 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$44.10 |
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-$25.45 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$44.10 |
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-$25.62 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$34.09 |
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-$21.27 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$34.09 |
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$13,722 |
<-12 mths |
-0.90% |
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| Payout Ratio AFFO |
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$10.87 |
<-12 mths |
0.00% |
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| AFFO |
$9,733 |
$9,412 |
$9,058 |
$6,806 |
$5,988 |
$9,139 |
$10,172 |
$10,818 |
$3,876 |
$10,257 |
$18,101 |
$13,325 |
$13,846 |
$12 |
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| AFFO* per Share Calc
Basic |
$6.30 |
$6.27 |
$6.20 |
$4.71 |
$3.72 |
$5.50 |
$6.27 |
$6.94 |
$2.54 |
$6.89 |
$13.53 |
$10.33 |
$11.13 |
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-100.00% |
<-Total Growth |
9 |
AFFO |
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SU |
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| AFFO* per Share |
$6.30 |
$6.27 |
$6.19 |
$4.71 |
$3.72 |
$5.50 |
$6.27 |
$6.94 |
$2.54 |
$6.89 |
$13.05 |
$10.19 |
$10.87 |
$10.06 |
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113.59% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
AFFO |
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SU |
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| Increase |
1.61% |
-0.48% |
-1.28% |
-23.91% |
-21.02% |
47.85% |
14.00% |
10.69% |
-63.40% |
171.26% |
89.40% |
-21.92% |
6.67% |
-7.45% |
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10 |
0 |
10 |
Years of Data, EPS P or N |
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SU |
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| 5 year Running Average |
$4.68 |
$5.07 |
$5.84 |
$5.93 |
$5.44 |
$5.28 |
$5.28 |
$5.43 |
$4.99 |
$5.63 |
$7.14 |
$7.92 |
$8.71 |
$10.21 |
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5.79% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
AFFO |
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SU |
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| AFFO Yield |
19.26% |
16.84% |
16.78% |
13.19% |
8.47% |
11.92% |
16.44% |
16.31% |
11.90% |
27.53% |
41.13% |
23.95% |
21.18% |
18.34% |
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9.39% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
AFFO |
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SU |
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| Payout Ratio |
7.94% |
11.64% |
16.48% |
24.20% |
31.18% |
23.27% |
22.97% |
24.21% |
43.11% |
15.24% |
14.41% |
20.66% |
20.29% |
22.66% |
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4.07% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
5 yr Running Average |
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SU |
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| 5 year Running Average |
8.35% |
9.75% |
10.48% |
13.44% |
18.29% |
21.36% |
23.62% |
25.17% |
28.95% |
25.76% |
23.99% |
23.52% |
22.74% |
18.65% |
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9.91% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
5 yr Running Average |
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SU |
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| Price/AFFO Median |
5.11 |
5.22 |
6.31 |
7.79 |
9.79 |
7.52 |
7.24 |
5.98 |
11.83 |
3.21 |
2.61 |
4.19 |
4.62 |
5.12 |
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6.61 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/AFFO Median |
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SU |
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| Price/AFFO High |
5.87 |
6.05 |
7.55 |
8.63 |
11.95 |
8.40 |
8.80 |
6.66 |
17.74 |
3.88 |
3.26 |
4.69 |
5.34 |
5.77 |
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7.53 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/AFFO High |
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SU |
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| Price/AFFO Low |
4.35 |
4.39 |
5.07 |
6.95 |
7.64 |
6.64 |
5.67 |
5.30 |
5.93 |
2.55 |
1.97 |
3.68 |
3.89 |
4.47 |
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5.48 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/AFFO Low |
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SU |
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| Price/AFFO Close |
5.19 |
5.94 |
5.96 |
7.58 |
11.80 |
8.39 |
6.08 |
6.13 |
8.41 |
3.63 |
2.43 |
4.17 |
4.72 |
5.45 |
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6.11 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/AFFO Close |
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SU |
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| Trailing P/AFFO Close |
5.28 |
5.91 |
5.89 |
5.77 |
9.32 |
12.41 |
6.93 |
6.79 |
3.08 |
9.85 |
4.61 |
3.26 |
5.04 |
5.05 |
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6.28 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Trailing P/AFFO Close |
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SU |
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| Median Values |
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DPR |
10 Yrs |
23.12% |
5 Yrs |
20.29% |
P/CF |
5 Yrs |
in order |
4.19 |
4.69 |
3.68 |
4.17 |
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30.23% |
Diff M/C |
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DPR 75% to 95% best |
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SU |
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| * Adjusted Funds From Operations |
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| and Funds from Operations |
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-$6.19 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$10.87 |
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-$6.94 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$10.87 |
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-$5.84 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$8.71 |
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-$5.43 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$8.71 |
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$6,696 |
<-12 mths |
-2.73% |
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$5.30 |
<-12 mths |
-1.85% |
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| Adjusted Profit CDN$ |
$4,847 |
$4,700 |
$4,620 |
$1,465 |
-$83 |
$3,188 |
$4,312 |
$4,358 |
-$2,242 |
$3,805 |
$11,566 |
$6,677 |
$6,884 |
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| Basic |
$3.14 |
$3.13 |
$3.16 |
$1.01 |
-$0.05 |
$1.92 |
$2.65 |
$2.80 |
-$1.47 |
$2.56 |
$8.34 |
$5.10 |
$5.40 |
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70.99% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
AEPS |
|
SU |
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| AEPS* Dilued |
$3.14 |
$3.13 |
$3.15 |
$1.01 |
-$0.05 |
$1.92 |
$2.65 |
$2.80 |
-$1.47 |
$2.56 |
$8.34 |
$5.10 |
$5.40 |
$4.16 |
$4.33 |
$6.64 |
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71.43% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
AEPS |
|
SU |
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| Increase |
-13.02% |
-0.32% |
0.64% |
-67.94% |
-104.95% |
3940.00% |
38.02% |
5.66% |
-152.50% |
274.15% |
225.78% |
-38.85% |
5.88% |
-22.96% |
4.09% |
53.35% |
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8 |
2 |
10 |
Years of Data, EPS P or N |
|
SU |
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| 5 year Running Average |
$2.20 |
$2.50 |
$2.94 |
$2.81 |
$2.08 |
$1.83 |
$1.74 |
$1.67 |
$1.17 |
$1.69 |
$2.98 |
$3.47 |
$3.99 |
$5.11 |
$5.47 |
$5.13 |
|
5.54% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
AEPS |
|
SU |
|
| AEPS Yield |
9.60% |
8.40% |
8.54% |
2.83% |
-0.11% |
4.16% |
6.95% |
6.58% |
-6.89% |
10.23% |
26.28% |
11.99% |
10.52% |
7.58% |
7.89% |
12.10% |
|
14.04% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
AEPS |
|
SU |
|
| Payout Ratio |
15.92% |
23.32% |
32.38% |
112.87% |
0.00% |
66.67% |
54.34% |
60.00% |
0.00% |
41.02% |
22.54% |
41.27% |
40.83% |
54.81% |
52.66% |
34.34% |
|
3.08% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
5 yr Running Average |
|
SU |
|
| 5 year Running Average |
19.20% |
21.42% |
21.44% |
39.28% |
36.90% |
47.05% |
53.25% |
58.78% |
36.20% |
44.40% |
35.58% |
32.97% |
29.13% |
40.09% |
42.42% |
44.78% |
|
19.06% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
5 yr Running Average |
|
SU |
|
| Price/AEPS Median |
10.25 |
10.46 |
12.40 |
36.33 |
-728.70 |
21.55 |
17.12 |
14.82 |
-20.45 |
8.65 |
4.09 |
8.37 |
9.29 |
12.38 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
8.97 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/AEPS Median |
|
SU |
|
| Price/AEPS High |
11.77 |
12.13 |
14.84 |
40.27 |
-888.80 |
24.07 |
20.83 |
16.51 |
-30.65 |
10.44 |
5.09 |
9.38 |
10.75 |
13.95 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
10.60 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/AEPS High |
|
SU |
|
| Price/AEPS Low |
8.73 |
8.79 |
9.96 |
32.40 |
-568.60 |
19.03 |
13.41 |
13.13 |
-10.25 |
6.86 |
3.08 |
7.35 |
7.83 |
10.80 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
7.59 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/AEPS Low |
|
SU |
|
| Price/AEPS Close |
10.42 |
11.90 |
11.71 |
35.37 |
-878.00 |
24.04 |
14.39 |
15.20 |
-14.52 |
9.78 |
3.80 |
8.34 |
9.50 |
13.19 |
12.67 |
8.26 |
|
9.64 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/AEPS Close |
|
SU |
|
| Trailing P/AEPS Close |
9.06 |
11.86 |
11.79 |
11.34 |
43.47 |
-923.00 |
19.86 |
16.06 |
7.63 |
-17.03 |
12.39 |
5.10 |
10.06 |
10.16 |
13.19 |
12.67 |
|
10.70 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Trailing P/AEPS Close |
|
SU |
|
| Median Values |
Historical |
in order |
12.40 |
14.84 |
9.96 |
11.90 |
P/CF |
5 Yrs |
in order |
8.37 |
9.38 |
6.86 |
8.34 |
|
57.62% |
Diff M/C |
|
|
|
|
DPR 75% to 95% best |
|
SU |
|
| * Adjusted Operatimg Earnings |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$3.15 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$5.40 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$2.80 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$5.40 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$2.94 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$3.99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1.67 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$3.99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$4.83 |
<-12 mths |
2.33% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EPS Basic Suncor |
$1.80 |
$2.61 |
$1.84 |
-$1.38 |
$0.28 |
$2.68 |
$2.03 |
$1.86 |
-$2.83 |
$2.77 |
$6.54 |
$6.34 |
$4.72 |
|
|
|
|
156.52% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
EPS Basic |
|
SU |
|
| EPS Diluted* |
$1.79 |
$2.60 |
$1.84 |
-$1.38 |
$0.27 |
$2.68 |
$2.02 |
$1.86 |
-$2.83 |
$2.77 |
$6.53 |
$6.33 |
$4.72 |
$4.02 |
$3.87 |
$4.91 |
|
156.52% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
EPS Diluted |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
-32.96% |
45.25% |
-29.23% |
-175.00% |
119.57% |
892.59% |
-24.63% |
-7.92% |
-252.15% |
197.88% |
135.74% |
-3.06% |
-25.43% |
-14.87% |
-3.63% |
26.81% |
|
8 |
2 |
10 |
Years of Data, EPS P or N |
80.00% |
SU |
|
| Earnings Yield |
5.5% |
7.0% |
5.0% |
-3.9% |
0.6% |
5.8% |
5.3% |
4.4% |
-13.3% |
11.1% |
20.6% |
14.9% |
9.2% |
7.3% |
7.1% |
9.0% |
|
9.88% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Earnings per Share |
156.52% |
SU |
|
| 5 year Running Average |
$1.99 |
$2.06 |
$2.23 |
$1.50 |
$1.02 |
$1.20 |
$1.09 |
$1.09 |
$0.80 |
$1.30 |
$2.07 |
$2.93 |
$3.50 |
$4.87 |
$5.09 |
$4.77 |
|
20.47% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Earnings per Share |
153.76% |
SU |
|
| 10 year Running Average |
$2.96 |
$2.99 |
$2.94 |
$2.53 |
$1.93 |
$1.60 |
$1.57 |
$1.66 |
$1.15 |
$1.16 |
$1.64 |
$2.01 |
$2.30 |
$2.84 |
$3.20 |
$3.42 |
|
4.60% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
5 yr Running Average |
56.85% |
SU |
|
| * Diluted ESP per
share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
E/P |
10 Yrs |
5.55% |
5Yrs |
11.07% |
|
|
|
|
26.31% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
5 yr Running Average |
221.47% |
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1.84 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$4.72 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1.86 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$4.72 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$2.23 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$3.50 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1.09 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$3.50 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dividend* Suncor |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$2.30 |
$2.37 |
$2.44 |
|
|
Estimates |
|
Dividend* |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.22% |
3.18% |
2.87% |
|
|
Estimates |
|
Increase |
|
SU |
|
| Payout Ratio EPS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55.24% |
54.76% |
36.73% |
|
|
Estimates |
|
Payout Ratio EPS |
|
SU |
|
| Special Dividends Suncor |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
|
$0.00 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Special Dividends |
|
SU |
|
| Dividend* |
$0.50 |
$0.73 |
$1.02 |
$1.14 |
$1.16 |
$1.28 |
$1.44 |
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$2.21 |
$2.28 |
$2.28 |
$2.28 |
|
116.18% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Dividends |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
16.28% |
46.00% |
39.73% |
11.76% |
1.75% |
10.34% |
12.50% |
16.67% |
-34.82% |
-4.11% |
79.05% |
11.97% |
4.75% |
3.40% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|
22 |
2 |
31 |
Years of data, Count P, N |
0.00 |
SU |
|
| Average Increases 5 Year
Running |
22.48% |
30.62% |
28.57% |
24.25% |
23.10% |
21.92% |
15.22% |
10.61% |
1.29% |
0.12% |
13.86% |
13.75% |
11.37% |
19.01% |
19.83% |
4.02% |
|
13.80% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Average Incr 5 Year Running |
SU |
|
| Dividends 5 Yr Running |
$0.37 |
$0.47 |
$0.62 |
$0.76 |
$0.91 |
$1.07 |
$1.21 |
$1.34 |
$1.33 |
$1.31 |
$1.43 |
$1.56 |
$1.67 |
$1.90 |
$2.15 |
$2.23 |
|
170.62% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Dividends 5 Yr Running |
|
SU |
|
| Yield H/L Price |
1.55% |
2.23% |
2.61% |
3.11% |
3.18% |
3.09% |
3.17% |
4.05% |
3.64% |
4.74% |
5.51% |
4.93% |
4.39% |
4.43% |
|
|
|
3.85% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Yield H/L Price |
Item |
Current |
|
| Yield on High Price |
1.35% |
1.92% |
2.18% |
2.80% |
2.61% |
2.77% |
2.61% |
3.63% |
2.43% |
3.93% |
4.42% |
4.40% |
3.80% |
3.93% |
|
|
|
3.22% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Yield on High
Price |
EPS |
46.72% |
|
| Yield on Low Price |
1.82% |
2.65% |
3.25% |
3.48% |
4.08% |
3.50% |
4.05% |
4.57% |
7.27% |
5.98% |
7.32% |
5.61% |
5.21% |
5.07% |
|
|
|
4.89% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Yield on Low Price |
AFFO |
20.29% |
|
| Yield on Close Price |
1.53% |
1.96% |
2.76% |
3.19% |
2.64% |
2.77% |
3.78% |
3.95% |
5.13% |
4.19% |
5.92% |
4.95% |
4.30% |
4.16% |
4.16% |
4.16% |
|
4.07% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Yield on Close Price |
AEPS |
40.83% |
|
| Payout Ratio EPS |
27.93% |
28.08% |
55.43% |
-82.61% |
429.63% |
47.76% |
71.29% |
90.32% |
-38.69% |
37.91% |
28.79% |
33.25% |
46.72% |
56.74% |
58.88% |
46.44% |
|
42.31% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
DPR EPS |
CFPS |
19.82% |
|
| DPR EPS 5 Yr Running Avg |
18.41% |
22.96% |
27.57% |
50.80% |
88.87% |
88.69% |
111.23% |
122.94% |
166.38% |
100.69% |
69.03% |
53.27% |
47.57% |
39.07% |
42.21% |
46.75% |
|
88.78% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
DPR EPS 5 Yr Running |
FCF |
38.08% |
|
| Payout Ratio CFPS |
8.61% |
10.68% |
16.48% |
23.95% |
34.06% |
23.43% |
21.57% |
24.70% |
62.43% |
12.86% |
16.04% |
22.00% |
17.19% |
20.86% |
23.87% |
22.27% |
|
22.71% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
DPR CF |
|
SU |
|
| DPR CF 5 Yr Running |
6.56% |
9.75% |
10.72% |
12.73% |
16.86% |
20.00% |
22.80% |
24.71% |
27.61% |
22.68% |
20.34% |
20.55% |
18.93% |
17.89% |
19.69% |
20.99% |
|
20.45% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
DPR CF 5 Yr Running |
|
SU |
|
| Payout Ratio CFPS WC |
7.78% |
11.22% |
16.26% |
24.22% |
32.31% |
22.98% |
22.43% |
23.79% |
43.09% |
14.75% |
13.89% |
20.38% |
19.82% |
20.86% |
23.87% |
22.27% |
|
22.71% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
DPR CF WC |
|
SU |
|
| DPR CF WC 5 Yr Running |
6.26% |
9.34% |
10.35% |
12.66% |
16.54% |
20.00% |
22.74% |
24.50% |
26.43% |
22.80% |
19.48% |
19.24% |
18.67% |
17.95% |
19.38% |
21.37% |
|
19.74% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
DPR CF WC 5 Yr Running |
|
SU |
|
| Median 5 Yrs |
10 Yr Med |
10 Yr Cl |
3.85% |
4.07% |
5 Yr Med |
5 Yr Cl |
4.74% |
4.95% |
5 Yr Med |
Payout |
33.25% |
17.19% |
19.82% |
|
|
|
|
5.59% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Dividends |
31.25% |
SU |
|
| * Dividends per
share |
10 Yr Med |
and Cur. |
8.08% |
2.08% |
5 Yr Med |
and Cur. |
-12.39% |
-16.01% |
Last Div Inc ---> |
$0.55 |
$0.57 |
4.59% |
|
|
|
|
8.01% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Dividends |
116.18% |
SU |
|
| Dividends Growth 15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.22% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
15 |
Dividends |
635.00% |
SU |
|
| Dividends Growth 20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.91% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
20 |
Dividends |
1817.39% |
SU |
|
| Dividends Growth 25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.91% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
25 |
Dividends |
2494.12% |
SU |
|
| Dividends Growth 30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.57% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
28 |
Dividends |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dividends Growth 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1.68 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$2.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends Growth 5 |
|
|
|
| Dividends Growth 10 |
|
|
-$1.02 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$2.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends Growth 10 |
|
|
|
| Dividends Growth 15 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$2.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends Growth 15 |
|
|
|
| Dividends Growth 20 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$2.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends Growth 20 |
|
|
|
| Dividends Growth 25 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$2.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends Growth 25 |
|
|
|
| Dividends Growth 30 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$2.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends Growth 30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Historical Dividends |
Historical |
High Div |
7.28% |
Low Div |
0.87% |
10 Yr High |
7.31% |
10 Yr Low |
2.45% |
Med Div |
3.14% |
Close Div |
1.53% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Historical Dividends |
|
SU |
|
| High/Ave/Median Values |
Curr diff |
Exp. |
-42.91% |
|
378% |
Exp. |
-43.15% |
|
69.63% |
Cheap |
32.36% |
Cheap |
171.89% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
High/Ave/Median |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| Future Dividend Yield |
|
|
|
|
Div Yield |
$0.05 |
earning in |
5 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Inc. |
31.25% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Future Dividend Yield |
|
SU |
|
| Future Dividend Yield |
|
|
|
|
Div Yield |
7.16% |
earning in |
10 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Inc. |
72.27% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Future Dividend Yield |
|
SU |
|
| Future Dividend Yield |
|
|
|
|
Div Yield |
9.40% |
earning in |
15 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Inc. |
126.10% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Future Dividend Yield |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| Future Dividend Paid |
|
|
|
|
Div Paid |
$2.99 |
earning in |
5 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Inc. |
31.25% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Future Dividend Paid |
|
SU |
|
| Future Dividend Paid |
|
|
|
|
Div Paid |
$3.93 |
earning in |
10 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Inc. |
72.27% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Future Dividend Paid |
|
SU |
|
| Future Dividend Paid |
|
|
|
|
Div Paid |
$5.16 |
earning in |
15 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Inc. |
126.10% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Future Dividend Paid |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| Dividend Covering Cost |
|
|
|
|
Total Div |
$12.75 |
over |
5 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Cov. |
23.24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividend Covering Cost |
|
SU |
|
| Dividend Covering Cost |
|
|
|
|
Total Div |
$26.49 |
over |
10 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Cov. |
48.28% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividend Covering Cost |
|
SU |
|
| Dividend Covering Cost |
|
|
|
|
Total Div |
$44.52 |
over |
15 |
Years |
at IRR of |
5.59% |
Div Cov. |
81.15% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividend Covering Cost |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Yield if held 5 years |
1.07% |
1.60% |
3.53% |
3.62% |
3.23% |
3.98% |
4.40% |
4.30% |
2.98% |
2.88% |
4.54% |
4.64% |
5.31% |
7.58% |
10.30% |
6.69% |
|
4.14% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Yield if held 10 years |
3.81% |
5.21% |
5.39% |
4.03% |
2.65% |
2.73% |
3.16% |
5.82% |
3.47% |
2.92% |
5.84% |
6.43% |
5.65% |
6.21% |
6.26% |
5.51% |
|
3.75% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Yield if held 15 years |
9.82% |
11.90% |
15.85% |
13.67% |
10.85% |
9.75% |
10.27% |
8.88% |
3.88% |
2.40% |
4.01% |
4.62% |
7.63% |
7.23% |
6.35% |
7.08% |
|
8.26% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Yield if held 20 years |
|
|
|
49.30% |
36.55% |
25.13% |
23.47% |
26.11% |
13.13% |
9.82% |
14.32% |
15.01% |
11.66% |
8.07% |
5.21% |
4.86% |
|
19.24% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Yield if held 25 years |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.35% |
33.09% |
36.91% |
34.31% |
34.27% |
27.35% |
21.33% |
17.36% |
|
34.31% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Yield if held 30 years |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.59% |
71.85% |
44.76% |
|
#NUM! |
<-Median-> |
0 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cost covered if held 5
years |
3.90% |
5.18% |
10.66% |
12.12% |
12.67% |
16.56% |
18.45% |
17.15% |
18.14% |
17.96% |
17.27% |
17.22% |
20.08% |
31.67% |
48.57% |
32.70% |
|
17.24% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Cost covered if held 10
years |
19.05% |
22.36% |
21.36% |
17.91% |
13.88% |
15.27% |
18.42% |
33.86% |
33.23% |
30.90% |
38.76% |
42.32% |
38.49% |
44.08% |
47.47% |
44.22% |
|
32.07% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Cost covered if held 15
years |
57.47% |
58.24% |
70.05% |
66.72% |
62.11% |
59.64% |
65.43% |
56.79% |
41.46% |
28.85% |
30.51% |
35.55% |
62.72% |
63.44% |
60.83% |
73.40% |
|
58.21% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Cost covered if held 20
years |
|
|
|
258.70% |
222.55% |
162.11% |
156.70% |
174.18% |
146.54% |
123.35% |
114.05% |
121.13% |
100.86% |
75.15% |
53.43% |
54.29% |
|
151.62% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Cost covered if held 25
years |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
546.49% |
428.80% |
302.39% |
284.02% |
303.72% |
260.72% |
223.93% |
198.96% |
|
303.72% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
| Cost covered if held 30
years |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
958.16% |
767.55% |
521.29% |
|
#NUM! |
<-Median-> |
0 |
Paid Median Price |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yr |
Item |
Tot. Growth |
Per Year |
|
| Revenue Growth |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$38,989 |
$24,662 |
$39,101 |
$58,467 |
$50,746 |
$54,881 |
$54,906 |
<-12 mths |
0.05% |
|
40.76% |
<-Total Growth |
5 |
Revenue Growth |
40.76% |
7.08% |
|
| AEPS Growth |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$2.80 |
-$1.47 |
$2.56 |
$8.34 |
$5.10 |
$5.40 |
$5.30 |
<-12 mths |
-1.85% |
|
92.86% |
<-Total Growth |
5 |
AEPS Growth |
92.86% |
14.04% |
|
| Net Income Growth |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$2,899 |
-$4,319 |
$4,119 |
$9,077 |
$8,295 |
$6,016 |
$6,095 |
<-12 mths |
1.31% |
|
107.52% |
<-Total Growth |
5 |
Net Income Growth |
107.52% |
15.72% |
|
| Cash Flow Growth |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$10,421 |
$2,675 |
$11,764 |
$15,680 |
$12,344 |
$15,960 |
$15,329 |
<-12 mths |
-3.95% |
|
53.15% |
<-Total Growth |
5 |
Cash Flow Growth |
53.15% |
8.90% |
|
| Dividend Growth |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$2.21 |
$2.28 |
<-12 mths |
3.40% |
|
31.25% |
<-Total Growth |
5 |
Dividend Growth |
31.25% |
5.59% |
|
| Stock Price Growth |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$42.56 |
$21.35 |
$25.03 |
$31.73 |
$42.54 |
$51.31 |
$54.86 |
<-12 mths |
6.92% |
|
20.56% |
<-Total Growth |
5 |
Stock Price Growth |
20.56% |
3.81% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Revenue Growth |
|
|
$40,490 |
$29,680 |
$26,968 |
$32,176 |
$38,986 |
$38,989 |
$24,662 |
$39,101 |
$58,467 |
$50,746 |
$54,881 |
$48,068 |
<-this year |
-12.41% |
|
35.54% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Revenue Growth |
35.54% |
3.09% |
|
| AEPS Growth |
|
|
$3.15 |
$1.01 |
-$0.05 |
$1.92 |
$2.65 |
$2.80 |
-$1.47 |
$2.56 |
$8.34 |
$5.10 |
$5.40 |
$4.16 |
<-this year |
-22.96% |
|
71.43% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
AEPS Growth |
71.43% |
5.54% |
|
| Net Income Growth |
|
|
$2,699 |
-$1,995 |
$434 |
$4,458 |
$3,293 |
$2,899 |
-$4,319 |
$4,119 |
$9,077 |
$8,295 |
$6,016 |
$4,513 |
<-this year |
-24.98% |
|
122.90% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Net Income Growth |
122.90% |
8.35% |
|
| Cash Flow Growth |
|
|
$8,936 |
$6,884 |
$5,680 |
$8,966 |
$10,580 |
$10,421 |
$2,675 |
$11,764 |
$15,680 |
$12,344 |
$15,960 |
$13,601 |
<-this year |
-14.78% |
|
78.60% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Cash Flow Growth |
78.60% |
5.97% |
|
| Dividend Growth |
|
|
$1.02 |
$1.14 |
$1.16 |
$1.28 |
$1.44 |
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$2.21 |
$2.30 |
<-this year |
4.22% |
|
116.18% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Dividend Growth |
116.18% |
8.01% |
|
| Stock Price Growth |
|
|
$36.90 |
$35.72 |
$43.90 |
$46.15 |
$38.13 |
$42.56 |
$21.35 |
$25.03 |
$31.73 |
$42.54 |
$51.31 |
$54.86 |
<-this year |
6.92% |
|
39.05% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Stock Price Growth |
39.05% |
3.35% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dividends on Shares |
|
|
|
$31.92 |
$32.48 |
$35.84 |
$40.32 |
$47.04 |
$30.66 |
$29.40 |
$52.64 |
$58.94 |
$61.74 |
$63.84 |
$63.84 |
$63.84 |
|
$420.98 |
No of Years |
10 |
Total Divs |
12/31/14 |
|
|
| Paid |
|
|
$1,033.20 |
$1,000.16 |
$1,229.20 |
$1,292.20 |
$1,067.64 |
$1,191.68 |
$597.80 |
$700.84 |
$888.44 |
$1,191.12 |
$1,436.68 |
$1,536.08 |
$1,536.08 |
$1,536.08 |
|
$1,436.68 |
No of Years |
10 |
Worth |
$36.90 |
27.10 |
|
| Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$1,857.66 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Graham No. AEPS |
$42.65 |
$44.29 |
$45.19 |
$24.77 |
$24.66 |
$34.56 |
$40.69 |
$41.58 |
$36.75 |
$38.25 |
$74.32 |
$62.04 |
$65.93 |
$57.73 |
$58.90 |
$72.94 |
|
45.90% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Graham Price AEPS |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
-4.90% |
3.84% |
2.02% |
-45.18% |
-0.44% |
40.17% |
17.73% |
2.18% |
-11.62% |
4.09% |
94.28% |
-16.52% |
6.26% |
-12.43% |
2.02% |
23.83% |
|
3.14% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Graham Price |
|
SU |
|
| Price/GP Ratio Med |
0.75 |
0.74 |
0.86 |
1.48 |
1.48 |
1.20 |
1.11 |
1.00 |
0.82 |
0.58 |
0.46 |
0.69 |
0.76 |
0.89 |
|
|
|
0.91 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/GP Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Price/GP Ratio High |
0.87 |
0.86 |
1.03 |
1.64 |
1.80 |
1.34 |
1.36 |
1.11 |
1.23 |
0.70 |
0.57 |
0.77 |
0.88 |
1.01 |
|
|
|
1.17 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/GP Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Price/GP Ratio Low |
0.64 |
0.62 |
0.69 |
1.32 |
1.15 |
1.06 |
0.87 |
0.88 |
0.41 |
0.46 |
0.35 |
0.60 |
0.64 |
0.78 |
|
|
|
0.76 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/GP Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Price/GP Ratio Close |
0.77 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
1.44 |
1.78 |
1.34 |
0.94 |
1.02 |
0.58 |
0.65 |
0.43 |
0.69 |
0.78 |
0.95 |
0.93 |
0.75 |
|
0.86 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/GP Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Prem/Disc Close |
-23.31% |
-15.92% |
-18.34% |
44.21% |
78.03% |
33.52% |
-6.30% |
2.35% |
-41.90% |
-34.57% |
-57.31% |
-31.44% |
-22.17% |
-4.97% |
-6.86% |
-24.78% |
|
-14.24% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Graham Price |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Graham No. EPS |
$32.21 |
$40.37 |
$34.54 |
$12.81 |
$12.75 |
$40.84 |
$35.53 |
$33.89 |
$31.32 |
$39.79 |
$65.76 |
$69.12 |
$61.64 |
$56.74 |
$55.70 |
$62.72 |
|
78.48% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Graham Price EPS |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
-16.51% |
25.35% |
-14.45% |
-62.92% |
-0.44% |
220.30% |
-13.00% |
-4.61% |
-7.57% |
27.03% |
65.27% |
5.11% |
-10.83% |
-7.95% |
-1.83% |
12.61% |
|
-2.53% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Graham Price |
|
SU |
|
| Price/GP Ratio Med |
1.00 |
0.81 |
1.13 |
2.87 |
2.86 |
1.01 |
1.28 |
1.22 |
0.96 |
0.56 |
0.52 |
0.62 |
0.81 |
0.91 |
|
|
|
0.99 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/GP Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Price/GP Ratio High |
1.15 |
0.94 |
1.35 |
3.18 |
3.49 |
1.13 |
1.55 |
1.36 |
1.44 |
0.67 |
0.65 |
0.69 |
0.94 |
1.02 |
|
|
|
1.25 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/GP Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Price/GP Ratio Low |
0.85 |
0.68 |
0.91 |
2.55 |
2.23 |
0.89 |
1.00 |
1.08 |
0.48 |
0.44 |
0.39 |
0.54 |
0.69 |
0.79 |
|
|
|
0.79 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/GP Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Price/GP Ratio Close |
1.02 |
0.92 |
1.07 |
2.79 |
3.44 |
1.13 |
1.07 |
1.26 |
0.68 |
0.63 |
0.48 |
0.62 |
0.83 |
0.97 |
|
|
|
0.95 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Price/GP Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Prem/Disc Close |
1.57% |
-7.75% |
6.85% |
178.92% |
244.32% |
13.01% |
7.32% |
25.58% |
-31.84% |
-37.10% |
-51.75% |
-38.46% |
-16.75% |
-3.31% |
-1.50% |
-12.53% |
|
-4.72% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Graham Price |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-split '05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Price Close Suncor |
$32.71 |
$37.24 |
$36.90 |
$35.72 |
$43.90 |
$46.15 |
$38.13 |
$42.56 |
$21.35 |
$25.03 |
$31.73 |
$42.54 |
$51.31 |
$54.86 |
$54.86 |
$54.86 |
|
39.05% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Stock Price |
Suncor |
SU |
|
| Increase |
11.33% |
13.85% |
-0.91% |
-3.20% |
22.90% |
5.13% |
-17.38% |
11.62% |
-49.84% |
17.24% |
26.77% |
34.07% |
20.62% |
6.92% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|
22.92 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
CAPE (10 Yr P/E) |
|
SU |
|
| P/E |
18.27 |
14.32 |
20.05 |
-25.88 |
162.59 |
17.22 |
18.88 |
22.88 |
-7.54 |
9.04 |
4.86 |
6.72 |
10.87 |
13.65 |
14.17 |
11.17 |
|
3.81% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Stock Price |
20.56% |
SU |
|
| Trailing P/E |
12.25 |
20.80 |
14.19 |
19.41 |
-31.81 |
170.93 |
14.23 |
21.07 |
11.48 |
-8.84 |
11.45 |
6.51 |
8.11 |
11.62 |
13.65 |
14.17 |
|
3.35% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Stock Price |
39.05% |
SU |
|
| CAPE (10 Yr P/E) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
23.91 |
22.92 |
31.60 |
30.95 |
21.93 |
18.12 |
16.47 |
14.01 |
12.78 |
12.20 |
|
7.36% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Price & Dividend |
40.14% |
SU |
|
| Median 10, 5 Yrs |
|
D. per yr |
3.43% |
3.55% |
% Tot Ret |
50.58% |
48.21% |
|
Price Inc |
20.62% |
P/E: |
9.95 |
6.72 |
|
|
|
|
6.78% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Price & Dividend |
79.80% |
SU |
|
| Price 15 |
|
D. per yr |
2.60% |
|
% Tot Ret |
54.56% |
|
|
|
|
|
CAPE Diff |
-38.86% |
|
|
|
|
2.17% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
15 |
Stock Price |
37.89% |
SU |
|
| Price 20 |
|
D. per yr |
2.40% |
|
% Tot Ret |
34.80% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.49% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
20 |
Stock Price |
140.89% |
SU |
|
| Price 25 |
|
D. per yr |
2.64% |
|
% Tot Ret |
24.95% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.96% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
25 |
Stock Price |
577.81% |
SU |
|
| Price 30 |
|
D. per yr |
3.31% |
|
% Tot Ret |
23.59% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.73% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
29 |
Stock Price |
|
SU |
|
| Price & Dividend 15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.76% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
15 |
Price & Dividend |
86.58% |
SU |
|
| Price & Dividend 20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.89% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
20 |
Price & Dividend |
230.45% |
SU |
|
| Price & Dividend 25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.60% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
25 |
Price & Dividend |
8.359643 |
SU |
|
| Price & Dividend 30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.04% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
29 |
Price & Dividend |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Price 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$42.56 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$51.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price 5 |
|
|
|
| Price 10 |
|
|
-$36.90 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$51.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price 10 |
|
|
|
| Price & Dividend 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$42.56 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$53.52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price & Dividend 5 |
|
|
|
| Price & Dividend 10 |
|
|
-$36.90 |
$1.14 |
$1.16 |
$1.28 |
$1.44 |
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$53.52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price & Dividend 10 |
|
|
|
| Price 15 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$51.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price 15 |
|
|
|
| Price 20 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$51.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price 20 |
|
|
|
| Price 25 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$51.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price 25 |
|
|
|
| Price 30 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$51.31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price 30 |
|
|
|
| Price & Dividend 15 |
$0.50 |
$0.73 |
$1.02 |
$1.14 |
$1.16 |
$1.28 |
$1.44 |
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$53.52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price & Dividend 15 |
|
|
|
| Price & Dividend 20 |
$0.50 |
$0.73 |
$1.02 |
$1.14 |
$1.16 |
$1.28 |
$1.44 |
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$53.52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price & Dividend 20 |
|
|
|
| Price & Dividend 25 |
$0.50 |
$0.73 |
$1.02 |
$1.14 |
$1.16 |
$1.28 |
$1.44 |
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$53.52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price & Dividend 25 |
|
|
|
| Price & Dividend 30 |
$0.50 |
$0.73 |
$1.02 |
$1.14 |
$1.16 |
$1.28 |
$1.44 |
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$53.52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price & Dividend 30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Price H/L Median Suncor |
$32.19 |
$32.73 |
$39.06 |
$36.70 |
$36.44 |
$41.38 |
$45.37 |
$41.50 |
$30.06 |
$22.14 |
$34.10 |
$42.67 |
$50.19 |
$51.50 |
|
|
|
28.48% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Stock Price |
|
|
|
| Increase |
-10.37% |
1.69% |
19.34% |
-6.05% |
-0.71% |
13.56% |
9.64% |
-8.52% |
-27.57% |
-26.36% |
54.03% |
25.15% |
17.61% |
2.61% |
|
|
|
2.54% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Stock Price |
28.48% |
SU |
|
| P/E |
17.98 |
12.59 |
21.23 |
-26.59 |
134.94 |
15.44 |
22.46 |
22.31 |
-10.62 |
7.99 |
5.22 |
6.74 |
10.63 |
12.82 |
|
|
|
3.87% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Stock Price |
20.93% |
SU |
|
| Trailing P/E |
12.05 |
18.28 |
15.02 |
19.94 |
-26.40 |
153.24 |
16.93 |
20.54 |
16.16 |
-7.82 |
12.31 |
6.53 |
7.93 |
10.91 |
|
|
|
5.90% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Price & Dividend |
#REF! |
SU |
|
| P/E on Run. 5 yr Ave |
|
15.92 |
17.48 |
24.40 |
35.58 |
34.42 |
41.77 |
38.07 |
37.58 |
17.03 |
16.47 |
14.55 |
14.32 |
10.57 |
|
|
|
7.51% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Price & Dividend |
#REF! |
SU |
|
| P/E on Run. 10 yr Ave |
|
|
|
|
|
|
28.88 |
24.97 |
26.09 |
19.05 |
20.84 |
21.24 |
21.85 |
18.15 |
|
|
|
11.61 |
P/E Ratio |
|
Historical Median |
|
SU |
|
| Median 10, 5 Yrs |
|
D. per yr |
3.36% |
3.63% |
% Tot Ret |
56.97% |
48.39% |
|
Price Inc |
17.61% |
P/E: |
9.31 |
6.74 |
|
|
|
|
|
Count |
29 |
Years of data |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$39.06 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$50.19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$41.50 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$50.19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$39.06 |
$1.14 |
$1.16 |
$1.28 |
$1.44 |
$1.68 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$52.39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$41.50 |
$1.10 |
$1.05 |
$1.88 |
$2.11 |
$52.39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| High Months Suncor |
Feb |
Nov |
Jun |
Apr |
Dec |
Nov |
Jul |
Mar |
Jan |
Nov |
Jun |
Mar |
Nov |
Feb |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-split '05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Price High |
$36.97 |
$37.96 |
$46.75 |
$40.67 |
$44.44 |
$46.22 |
$55.20 |
$46.23 |
$45.05 |
$26.72 |
$42.49 |
$47.83 |
$58.07 |
$58.05 |
|
|
|
24.21% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Stock Price |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
-20.31% |
2.68% |
23.16% |
-13.01% |
9.27% |
4.01% |
19.43% |
-16.25% |
-2.55% |
-40.69% |
59.02% |
12.57% |
21.41% |
-0.03% |
|
|
|
2.19% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Stock Price |
24.21% |
SU |
|
| P/E |
20.65 |
14.60 |
25.41 |
-29.47 |
164.59 |
17.25 |
27.33 |
24.85 |
-15.92 |
9.65 |
6.51 |
7.56 |
12.30 |
14.45 |
|
|
|
4.67% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Stock Price |
25.61% |
SU |
|
| Trailing P/E |
13.85 |
21.21 |
17.98 |
22.10 |
-32.20 |
171.19 |
20.60 |
22.89 |
24.22 |
-9.44 |
15.34 |
7.32 |
9.17 |
12.30 |
|
|
|
14.17 |
P/E Ratio |
|
Historical Median |
|
SU |
|
| Median 10, 5 Yrs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price Inc |
12.57% |
P/E: |
10.97 |
7.56 |
|
|
|
|
26.18 |
P/E Ratio |
|
Historical High |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$46.75 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$58.07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$46.23 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$58.07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Low Months Suncor |
May |
Apr |
Dec |
Jul |
Jan |
Jul |
Dec |
Jun |
Mar |
Aug |
Jan |
Jun |
Jan |
Apr |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-split '05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Price Low |
$27.40 |
$27.50 |
$31.37 |
$32.72 |
$28.43 |
$36.53 |
$35.53 |
$36.77 |
$15.07 |
$17.55 |
$25.70 |
$37.51 |
$42.30 |
$44.94 |
|
|
|
34.84% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Stock Price |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
7.75% |
0.36% |
14.07% |
4.30% |
-13.11% |
28.49% |
-2.74% |
3.49% |
-59.02% |
16.46% |
46.44% |
45.95% |
12.77% |
6.24% |
|
|
|
3.03% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Stock Price |
34.84% |
SU |
|
| P/E |
15.31 |
10.58 |
17.05 |
-23.71 |
105.30 |
13.63 |
17.59 |
19.77 |
-5.33 |
6.34 |
3.94 |
5.93 |
8.96 |
11.18 |
|
|
|
2.84% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Stock Price |
15.04% |
SU |
|
| Trailing P/E |
10.26 |
15.36 |
12.07 |
17.78 |
-20.60 |
135.30 |
13.26 |
18.20 |
8.10 |
-6.20 |
9.28 |
5.74 |
6.68 |
9.52 |
|
|
|
8.65 |
P/E Ratio |
|
Historical Median |
|
SU |
|
| Median 10, 5 Yrs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Price Inc |
16.46% |
P/E: |
7.65 |
5.93 |
|
|
|
|
5.60 |
P/E Ratio |
|
Historical Low |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$31.37 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$42.30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$36.77 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$42.30 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Free Funds Flow Mkt Sc |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$50 |
$5,702 |
$13,114 |
$7,497 |
$7,363 |
$5,723 |
$5,437 |
$5,848 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11504.00% |
129.99% |
-42.83% |
-1.79% |
-22.27% |
-5.00% |
7.56% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Free Funds Flow Company |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$4,432 |
$4,914 |
-$228 |
$5,702 |
$13,114 |
$7,497 |
$7,363 |
|
|
|
|
66.13% |
<-Total Growth |
6 |
Free Funds Flow Company |
|
|
|
| Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.88% |
-104.64% |
2600.88% |
129.99% |
-42.83% |
-1.79% |
|
|
|
|
4.54% |
<-Median-> |
6 |
Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Free Cash Flow WSJ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1,251 |
$7,209 |
$10,963 |
$6,516 |
$9,477 |
|
|
|
|
857.55% |
<-Total Growth |
4 |
Free Cash Flow WSJ |
|
|
|
| Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
676.26% |
52.07% |
-40.56% |
45.44% |
|
|
|
|
48.76% |
<-Median-> |
4 |
Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$7,448 |
<-12 mths |
0.78% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Free Cash Flow MS Old |
|
|
|
$217 |
-$902 |
$2,415 |
$5,174 |
$4,863 |
-$1,251 |
$7,209 |
$10,560 |
$641 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Free Cash Flow MS |
$1,902 |
$3,323 |
$1,975 |
$140 |
-$590 |
$2,590 |
$4,770 |
$5,260 |
-$50 |
$5,700 |
$12,980 |
$7,390 |
$7,360 |
$7,375 |
$7,273 |
|
|
272.66% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Free Cash Flow |
WSJ, MS |
SU |
|
| Change |
160.61% |
74.71% |
-40.57% |
-92.91% |
-521.43% |
538.98% |
84.17% |
10.27% |
-100.95% |
11500.00% |
127.72% |
-43.07% |
-0.41% |
0.20% |
-1.38% |
|
|
6.95% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Free Cash Flow MS |
39.92% |
SU |
|
| FCF/CF from Op Ratio |
0.22 |
0.33 |
0.22 |
0.02 |
-0.10 |
0.29 |
0.45 |
0.50 |
-0.02 |
0.48 |
0.83 |
0.60 |
0.46 |
0.54 |
0.61 |
|
|
14.06% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Free Cash Flow MS |
272.66% |
SU |
|
| Dividends paid |
$756 |
$1,095 |
$1,490 |
$1,648 |
$1,877 |
$2,124 |
$2,333 |
$2,614 |
$1,670 |
$2,614 |
$2,596 |
$2,749 |
$2,803 |
$2,803 |
$2,803 |
|
|
88.12% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Dividends paid |
|
SU |
|
| Percentage paid |
|
|
|
1177.14% |
-318.14% |
82.01% |
48.91% |
49.70% |
-3340.00% |
45.86% |
20.00% |
37.20% |
38.08% |
38.01% |
38.54% |
|
|
41.97% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Percentage paid |
|
SU |
|
| 5 Year Coverage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87.07% |
88.63% |
62.15% |
41.27% |
39.14% |
37.24% |
33.24% |
32.46% |
|
|
|
|
|
5 Year Covrage |
|
SU |
|
| Dividend
Coverage Ratio |
|
|
|
0.08 |
-0.31 |
1.22 |
2.04 |
2.01 |
-0.03 |
2.18 |
5.00 |
2.69 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
2.59 |
|
|
2.03 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Dividend Coverage Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| 5 Year of Coverage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.15 |
1.13 |
1.61 |
2.42 |
2.55 |
2.69 |
3.01 |
3.08 |
|
|
|
|
|
5 Year of Coverage |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$5,260 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$7,360 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1,975 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$7,360 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Market Cap |
$49,819 |
$55,052 |
$53,288 |
$51,652 |
$73,221 |
$75,731 |
$60,416 |
$65,197 |
$32,562 |
$36,075 |
$42,438 |
$54,881 |
$63,847 |
$68,264 |
$68,264 |
$68,264 |
|
19.81% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Market Cap |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-split '05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Diluted # of Shares in
Million |
1,549 |
1,502 |
1,465 |
1,447 |
1,612 |
1,665 |
1,629 |
1,561 |
1,526 |
1,489 |
1,390 |
1,310 |
1,276 |
1,331 |
|
|
|
-12.90% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Diluted |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| Change |
-2.09% |
-3.03% |
-2.46% |
-1.23% |
11.40% |
3.29% |
-2.16% |
-4.17% |
-2.24% |
-2.42% |
-6.65% |
-5.76% |
-2.60% |
4.31% |
|
|
|
-2.33% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Change |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| Difference Diluted/Basic |
-0.3% |
-0.1% |
-0.2% |
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
-0.2% |
-0.4% |
-0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Difference Diluted/Basic |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-split '05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Basic # of Shares in
Millions |
1,545 |
1,501 |
1,462 |
1,446 |
1,610 |
1,661 |
1,623 |
1,559 |
1,526 |
1,489 |
1,387 |
1,308 |
1,274 |
1,329 |
|
|
|
-12.86% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Basic |
used in |
PCA -->SU |
|
| Change |
-1.65% |
-2.85% |
-2.60% |
-1.09% |
11.34% |
3.17% |
-2.29% |
-3.94% |
-2.12% |
-2.42% |
-6.85% |
-5.70% |
-2.60% |
4.32% |
|
|
|
-2.36% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Change |
CFPS |
PCA -->SU |
|
| Difference
Basic/Outstanding |
-1.4% |
-1.5% |
-1.2% |
0.0% |
3.6% |
-1.2% |
-2.4% |
-1.7% |
-0.1% |
-3.2% |
-3.6% |
-1.4% |
-2.3% |
-6.4% |
|
|
|
-1.55% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Difference Basic/Outstanding |
PCA -->SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-split 2008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| # of Shares in M in SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Share Capital |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$15,329 |
<-12 mths |
-3.95% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-split '05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Suncor |
|
|
|
| Pre-merger '09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PCA. Plus 1.28 |
|
|
|
| # of Share in Millions |
1523.06 |
1478.32 |
1444.12 |
1446.01 |
1667.91 |
1640.98 |
1584.48 |
1531.87 |
1525.15 |
1441.25 |
1337.47 |
1290.10 |
1244.33 |
1244.33 |
1244.33 |
1244.33 |
|
-1.48% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Shares |
-13.83% |
Outstanding Shares |
| Change |
-2.27% |
-2.94% |
-2.31% |
0.13% |
15.35% |
-1.61% |
-3.44% |
-3.32% |
-0.44% |
-5.50% |
-7.20% |
-3.54% |
-3.55% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|
-4.07% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Shares |
-18.77% |
First part of doc |
| CF fr Op $M PCA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash Flow from
Operations $M |
$8,846 |
$10,100 |
$8,936 |
$6,884 |
$5,680 |
$8,966 |
$10,580 |
$10,421 |
$2,675 |
$11,764 |
$15,680 |
$12,344 |
$15,960 |
$13,601 |
$11,886 |
$12,742 |
|
78.60% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Cash Flow |
|
See Changes in Equity |
| Increase |
-11.43% |
14.18% |
-11.52% |
-22.96% |
-17.49% |
57.85% |
18.00% |
-1.50% |
-74.33% |
339.78% |
33.29% |
-21.28% |
29.29% |
-14.78% |
-12.61% |
7.20% |
|
|
S.O. |
|
DRIP, Buy Backs |
|
last column |
|
| 5 year Running Average |
$8,640 |
$7,399 |
$8,671 |
$8,951 |
$8,089 |
$8,113 |
$8,209 |
$8,506 |
$7,664 |
$8,881 |
$10,224 |
$10,577 |
$11,685 |
$13,870 |
$13,894 |
$13,306 |
|
34.75% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
CF 5 Yr Running |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| CFPS |
$5.81 |
$6.83 |
$6.19 |
$4.76 |
$3.41 |
$5.46 |
$6.68 |
$6.80 |
$1.75 |
$8.16 |
$11.72 |
$9.57 |
$12.83 |
$10.93 |
$9.55 |
$10.24 |
|
107.28% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Cash Flow per Share |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| Increase |
-9.38% |
17.63% |
-9.43% |
-23.06% |
-28.47% |
60.44% |
22.21% |
1.88% |
-74.22% |
365.38% |
43.63% |
-18.38% |
34.05% |
-14.78% |
-12.61% |
7.20% |
|
5.97% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Cash Flow |
78.60% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| 5 year Running Average |
$5.58 |
$4.84 |
$5.75 |
$6.00 |
$5.40 |
$5.33 |
$5.30 |
$5.42 |
$4.82 |
$5.77 |
$7.02 |
$7.60 |
$8.81 |
$10.64 |
$10.92 |
$10.62 |
|
8.90% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Cash Flow |
53.15% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| Non-Cash CF PCA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| P/CF on Med Price |
5.54 |
4.79 |
6.31 |
7.71 |
10.70 |
7.57 |
6.79 |
6.10 |
17.14 |
2.71 |
2.91 |
4.46 |
3.91 |
4.71 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
7.56% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Cash Flow per Share |
107.28% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| P/CF on Closing Price |
5.63 |
5.45 |
5.96 |
7.50 |
12.89 |
8.45 |
5.71 |
6.26 |
12.17 |
3.07 |
2.71 |
4.45 |
4.00 |
5.02 |
5.74 |
5.36 |
|
13.52% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Cash Flow per Share |
88.54% |
PCA -->SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-22.15% |
Diff M/C |
|
4.36% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
CFPS 5 yr Running |
53.21% |
PCA -->SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$13,722 |
<-12 mths |
-0.90% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| Excl.Working Capital CF |
$944 |
-$482 |
$122 |
-$78 |
$308 |
$173 |
-$408 |
$397 |
$1,201 |
-$1,507 |
$2,421 |
$981 |
-$2,114 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
10.19% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
CFPS 5 yr Running |
62.43% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| CF fr Op $M WC |
$9,790 |
$9,618 |
$9,058 |
$6,806 |
$5,988 |
$9,139 |
$10,172 |
$10,818 |
$3,876 |
$10,257 |
$18,101 |
$13,325 |
$13,846 |
$13,601 |
$11,886 |
$12,742 |
|
52.86% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Cash Flow less WC |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| Increase |
0.45% |
-1.76% |
-5.82% |
-24.86% |
-12.02% |
52.62% |
11.30% |
6.35% |
-64.17% |
164.63% |
76.47% |
-26.39% |
3.91% |
-1.77% |
-12.61% |
7.20% |
|
4.33% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Cash Flow less WC |
52.86% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| 5 year Running Average |
$9,052 |
$7,736 |
$8,986 |
$9,004 |
$8,252 |
$8,122 |
$8,233 |
$8,585 |
$7,999 |
$8,852 |
$10,645 |
$11,275 |
$11,881 |
$13,826 |
$14,152 |
$13,080 |
|
5.06% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Cash Flow less WC |
27.99% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| CFPS Excl. WC |
$6.43 |
$6.51 |
$6.27 |
$4.71 |
$3.59 |
$5.57 |
$6.42 |
$7.06 |
$2.54 |
$7.12 |
$13.53 |
$10.33 |
$11.13 |
$10.93 |
$9.55 |
$10.24 |
|
2.83% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
CF less WC 5 Yr Run |
32.22% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| Increase |
2.78% |
1.22% |
-3.59% |
-24.96% |
-23.72% |
55.13% |
15.27% |
10.00% |
-64.01% |
180.03% |
90.17% |
-23.68% |
7.73% |
-1.77% |
-12.61% |
7.20% |
|
6.72% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
CF less WC 5 Yr Run |
38.40% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| 5 year Running Average |
$5.84 |
$5.06 |
$5.95 |
$6.03 |
$5.50 |
$5.33 |
$5.31 |
$5.47 |
$5.04 |
$5.74 |
$7.33 |
$8.12 |
$8.93 |
$10.61 |
$11.09 |
$10.44 |
|
5.90% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
CFPS - Less WC |
77.40% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| P/CF on Med Price |
5.01 |
5.03 |
6.23 |
7.80 |
10.15 |
7.43 |
7.07 |
5.88 |
11.83 |
3.11 |
2.52 |
4.13 |
4.51 |
4.71 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
9.52% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
CFPS - Less WC |
57.57% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| P/CF on Closing Price |
5.09 |
5.72 |
5.88 |
7.59 |
12.23 |
8.29 |
5.94 |
6.03 |
8.40 |
3.52 |
2.34 |
4.12 |
4.61 |
5.02 |
5.74 |
5.36 |
|
4.14% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
CFPS 5 yr Running |
50.08% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| *Operational Cash Flow
per share |
|
|
CF/-WC |
P/CF Med |
10 yr |
6.45 |
5 yr |
3.91 |
P/CF Med |
10 yr |
6.47 |
5 yr |
4.13 |
|
-22.44% |
Diff M/C |
|
10.30% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
CFPS 5 yr Running |
63.26% |
PCA -->SU |
|
| Non-Cash WC chge |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| current port pro when |
|
|
-$1,444 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$1,244 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares |
|
|
|
| possitive |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1,532 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$1,244 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$8,936 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$15,960 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$10,421 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$15,960 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$6.19 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$12.83 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow per Share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$6.80 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$12.83 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow per Share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$5.75 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$8.81 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFPS 5 yr Running |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$5.42 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$8.81 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFPS 5 yr Running |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$9,058 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$13,846 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow less WC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$10,818 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$13,846 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flow less WC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$8,986 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$11,881 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CF less WC 5 Yr Run |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$8,585 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$11,881 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CF less WC 5 Yr Run |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$6.27 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$11.13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFPS - Less WC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$7.06 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$11.13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFPS - Less WC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$5.95 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$8.93 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFPS 5 yr Running |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$5.47 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$8.93 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFPS 5 yr Running |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| (Increase) decrease in non-cash working capital |
|
|
$78 |
-$308 |
-$173 |
$408 |
-$397 |
-$1,201 |
$1,507 |
-$2,421 |
-$981 |
$2,114 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sum |
|
$0 |
$0 |
$78 |
-$308 |
-$173 |
$408 |
-$397 |
-$1,201 |
$1,507 |
-$2,421 |
-$981 |
$2,114 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Google -->TD 2017 |
|
$482.00 |
-$122.00 |
$78 |
-$308 |
-$173 |
$408 |
-$397 |
-$1,201 |
$1,507 |
-$2,421 |
-$981 |
$2,114 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Difference |
|
|
|
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| OPM |
22.91% |
25.06% |
22.07% |
23.19% |
21.06% |
27.87% |
27.14% |
26.73% |
10.85% |
30.09% |
26.82% |
24.33% |
29.08% |
28.29% |
|
|
|
31.77% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
OPM |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| Increase |
-8.74% |
9.41% |
-11.95% |
5.09% |
-9.19% |
32.30% |
-2.61% |
-1.51% |
-59.42% |
177.38% |
-10.86% |
-9.30% |
19.55% |
-2.71% |
|
|
|
|
Should increase |
|
or be stable. |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| Diff from Ave |
-14.4% |
-6.4% |
-17.6% |
-13.4% |
-21.3% |
4.1% |
1.4% |
-0.2% |
-59.5% |
12.4% |
0.2% |
-9.1% |
8.6% |
5.7% |
|
|
|
0.00 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
OPM |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
| *Operational
Profit Margin (CF/Revenue) Ratio |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
OPM |
10 Yrs |
26.77% |
5 Yrs |
26.82% |
|
|
|
|
should be |
zero, it is a |
|
check on
calculations |
|
PCA -->SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$17,072 |
<-12 mths |
0.12% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EBITDA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$13,530 |
$4,425 |
$12,675 |
$23,113 |
$18,291 |
$17,051 |
$14,905 |
$14,678 |
$15,928 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| Change |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-67.29% |
186.44% |
82.35% |
-20.86% |
-6.78% |
-12.59% |
-1.52% |
8.52% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| Margin |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34.70% |
17.94% |
32.42% |
39.53% |
36.04% |
31.07% |
31.01% |
30.86% |
32.48% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Long Term Debt Suncor |
$9,938 |
$10,203 |
$12,489 |
$14,486 |
$16,157 |
$13,372 |
$13,890 |
$12,844 |
$13,812 |
$13,989 |
$9,800 |
$11,087 |
$9,348 |
$11,295 |
|
|
|
-33.60% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Debt |
|
SU |
|
| Change |
-0.66% |
2.67% |
22.41% |
15.99% |
11.54% |
-17.24% |
3.87% |
-7.53% |
7.54% |
1.28% |
-29.94% |
13.13% |
-15.69% |
20.83% |
|
|
|
2.58% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Change |
|
SU |
|
| Debt/Market Cap Ratio |
0.20 |
0.19 |
0.23 |
0.28 |
0.22 |
0.18 |
0.23 |
0.20 |
0.42 |
0.39 |
0.23 |
0.20 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
|
|
|
0.23 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Debt/Market Cap Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Assets/Current Liab
Ratio |
7.98 |
7.38 |
9.54 |
10.86 |
10.93 |
9.36 |
8.69 |
8.49 |
8.02 |
8.05 |
6.58 |
9.23 |
8.35 |
9.09 |
|
|
|
8.59 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Assets/Current Liabilities |
|
SU |
|
| Debt to Cash Flow
(Years) |
1.12 |
1.01 |
1.40 |
2.10 |
2.84 |
1.49 |
1.31 |
1.23 |
5.16 |
1.19 |
0.63 |
0.90 |
0.59 |
0.83 |
|
|
|
1.27 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Debt to Cash Flow (Years) |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Intangibles Suncor |
$204 |
$192 |
$183 |
$179 |
$175 |
$169 |
$169 |
$166 |
$436 |
$631 |
$694 |
$636 |
$611 |
|
|
|
|
233.88% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Intangibles |
|
SU |
|
| Goodwill |
$2,924 |
$2,900 |
$2,900 |
$2,900 |
$2,900 |
$2,892 |
$2,892 |
$2,892 |
$2,892 |
$2,892 |
$2,892 |
$2,892 |
$2,892 |
|
|
|
|
-0.28% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Goodwill |
|
SU |
|
| Total |
$3,128 |
$3,092 |
$3,083 |
$3,079 |
$3,075 |
$3,061 |
$3,061 |
$3,058 |
$3,328 |
$3,523 |
$3,586 |
$3,528 |
$3,503 |
$3,510 |
|
|
|
13.62% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Total |
|
SU |
|
| Change |
-0.35% |
-1.15% |
-0.29% |
-0.13% |
-0.13% |
-0.46% |
0.00% |
-0.10% |
8.83% |
5.86% |
1.79% |
-1.62% |
-0.71% |
0.20% |
|
|
|
-0.11% |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Change |
|
SU |
|
| Intangible/Market Cap
Ratio |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.08 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
|
|
|
0.06 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Intangible/Market Cap Ratio |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Assets |
$14,179 |
$14,694 |
$13,916 |
$10,428 |
$11,019 |
$9,577 |
$8,700 |
$9,906 |
$9,386 |
$10,977 |
$14,536 |
$13,809 |
$12,288 |
$14,870 |
|
|
|
-13.25% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Current Assets |
|
SU |
|
| Current Liabilities |
$9,582 |
$10,606 |
$8,354 |
$7,136 |
$8,117 |
$9,557 |
$10,309 |
$10,537 |
$10,549 |
$10,399 |
$12,869 |
$9,597 |
$10,747 |
$9,816 |
|
|
|
28.64% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Current Liabilities |
|
SU |
|
| Liquidity Ratio |
1.48 |
1.39 |
1.67 |
1.46 |
1.36 |
1.00 |
0.84 |
0.94 |
0.89 |
1.06 |
1.13 |
1.44 |
1.14 |
1.51 |
|
|
|
1.09 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Liq. with CF aft div |
2.32 |
2.24 |
2.56 |
2.20 |
1.82 |
1.72 |
1.65 |
1.68 |
0.99 |
2.04 |
2.15 |
2.44 |
2.37 |
2.61 |
|
|
|
2.15 |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Liq. CF re Inv+Div |
1.37 |
1.38 |
1.40 |
1.13 |
0.94 |
1.13 |
1.00 |
1.14 |
0.69 |
1.48 |
1.57 |
1.46 |
1.48 |
2.61 |
|
|
|
1.48 |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Ratio |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Assets |
$76,449 |
$78,315 |
$79,671 |
$77,527 |
$88,702 |
$89,494 |
$89,579 |
$89,435 |
$84,616 |
$83,739 |
$84,618 |
$88,539 |
$89,784 |
$89,228 |
|
|
|
12.69% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Assets |
|
SU |
|
| Liabilities |
$37,226 |
$37,135 |
$38,068 |
$38,488 |
$44,072 |
$44,111 |
$45,574 |
$47,393 |
$48,859 |
$47,125 |
$45,251 |
$45,260 |
$45,270 |
$44,920 |
|
|
|
18.92% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Liabilities |
|
SU |
|
| Debt Ratio |
2.05 |
2.11 |
2.09 |
2.01 |
2.01 |
2.03 |
1.97 |
1.89 |
1.73 |
1.78 |
1.87 |
1.96 |
1.98 |
1.99 |
|
|
|
1.96 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Ratio |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Estimates BVPS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$32.27 |
$36.79 |
$38.82 |
|
|
Estimates |
|
Estimates BVPS |
|
|
|
| Estimate Book Value |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$40,155 |
$45,779 |
$48,305 |
|
|
Estimates |
|
Estimate Book Value |
|
|
|
| P/B Ratio (Close) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.70 |
1.49 |
1.41 |
|
|
Estimates |
|
P/B Ratio (Close) |
|
|
|
| Difference from 10 year
median |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.96% |
Diff M/C |
|
|
Estimates |
|
Difference from 10 yr med. |
|
|
|
| Book Value PCA to Suncor |
$39,223 |
$41,180 |
$41,603 |
$39,039 |
$44,630 |
$45,383 |
$44,005 |
$42,042 |
$35,757 |
$36,614 |
$39,367 |
$43,279 |
$44,514 |
$44,308 |
$44,308 |
$44,308 |
|
7.00% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Book Value |
|
SU |
|
| orig. BV per share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| Book Value per share |
$25.75 |
$27.86 |
$28.81 |
$27.00 |
$26.76 |
$27.66 |
$27.77 |
$27.44 |
$23.44 |
$25.40 |
$29.43 |
$33.55 |
$35.77 |
$35.61 |
$35.61 |
$35.61 |
|
24.18% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Book Value per Share |
|
SU |
|
| Change |
3.97% |
8.17% |
3.42% |
-6.29% |
-0.89% |
3.36% |
0.42% |
-1.18% |
-14.57% |
8.36% |
15.86% |
13.97% |
6.64% |
-0.46% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|
14.14% |
P/B Ratio |
|
Current/Historical Median |
|
SU |
|
| P/B Ratio (Median) |
1.25 |
1.17 |
1.36 |
1.36 |
1.36 |
1.50 |
1.63 |
1.51 |
1.28 |
0.87 |
1.16 |
1.27 |
1.40 |
1.45 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
1.35 |
P/B Ratio |
|
Historical Median |
|
SU |
|
| P/B Ratio (Close) |
1.27 |
1.34 |
1.28 |
1.32 |
1.64 |
1.67 |
1.37 |
1.55 |
0.91 |
0.99 |
1.08 |
1.27 |
1.43 |
1.54 |
1.54 |
1.54 |
|
2.19% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Book Value |
24.18% |
SU |
|
| Change |
7.1% |
5.3% |
-4.2% |
3.3% |
24.0% |
1.7% |
-17.7% |
13.0% |
-41.3% |
8.2% |
9.4% |
17.6% |
13.1% |
7.4% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
5.44% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Book Value |
30.35% |
SU |
|
| Leverage (A/BK) |
1.95 |
1.90 |
1.92 |
1.99 |
1.99 |
1.97 |
2.04 |
2.13 |
2.37 |
2.29 |
2.15 |
2.05 |
2.02 |
2.01 |
|
|
|
2.04 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
A/BV |
|
SU |
|
| Debt/Equity Ratio |
0.95 |
0.90 |
0.92 |
0.99 |
0.99 |
0.97 |
1.04 |
1.13 |
1.37 |
1.29 |
1.15 |
1.05 |
1.02 |
1.01 |
|
|
|
1.04 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
Debt/Eq Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| Sharerholders
Equity (Assets less liabilities) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
P/BV |
10 yr Med |
1.36 |
5 yr Med |
1.27 |
|
13.25% |
Diff M/C |
|
2.00 |
Historical |
16 |
A/BV |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$28.81 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$35.77 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$27.44 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$0.00 |
$35.77 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$6,469 |
<-12 mths |
-4.29% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Comprehensive Income |
$2,589 |
$4,815 |
$2,944 |
-$1,022 |
$163 |
$4,291 |
$3,663 |
$2,624 |
-$4,537 |
$4,912 |
$10,075 |
$8,497 |
$6,759 |
|
|
|
|
129.59% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Comprehensive Income |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
-38.49% |
85.98% |
-38.86% |
-134.71% |
115.95% |
2532.52% |
-14.64% |
-28.36% |
-272.90% |
208.27% |
105.11% |
-15.66% |
-20.45% |
|
|
|
|
-15.66% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Comprehensive Income |
|
SU |
|
| 5 Yr Running Average |
$2,147 |
$3,110 |
$3,535 |
$2,707 |
$1,898 |
$2,238 |
$2,008 |
$1,944 |
$1,241 |
$2,191 |
$3,347 |
$4,314 |
$5,141 |
|
|
|
|
8.67% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Comprehensive Income |
129.59% |
SU |
|
| ROE |
6.6% |
11.7% |
7.1% |
-2.6% |
0.4% |
9.5% |
8.3% |
6.2% |
-12.7% |
13.4% |
25.6% |
19.6% |
15.2% |
|
|
|
|
20.83% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Comprehensive Income |
157.58% |
SU |
|
| 5Yr Median |
|
8.5% |
8.5% |
7.1% |
6.6% |
7.1% |
7.1% |
6.2% |
6.2% |
8.3% |
8.3% |
13.4% |
15.2% |
|
|
|
|
3.82% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
5 Yr Running Average |
45.42% |
SU |
|
| % Difference from NI |
-7.0% |
23.1% |
9.1% |
-48.8% |
-62.4% |
-3.7% |
11.2% |
-9.5% |
5.0% |
19.3% |
11.0% |
2.4% |
12.4% |
|
|
|
|
21.47% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
5 Yr Running Average |
164.49% |
SU |
|
| Median Values |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diff |
5, 10 yr |
3.7% |
11.0% |
|
|
|
|
15.2% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Return on Equity |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$2,944 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$6,759 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$2,624 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$6,759 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$3,535.4 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$5,141.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1,943.8 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$0.0 |
$5,141.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Liability
Coverage Ratio |
0.92 |
0.95 |
1.07 |
0.96 |
0.70 |
0.94 |
1.03 |
0.99 |
0.25 |
1.13 |
1.22 |
1.29 |
1.49 |
1.39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFO / Current Liabilities |
|
SU |
|
| 5 year Median |
|
0.92 |
0.95 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.94 |
0.99 |
1.03 |
1.13 |
1.22 |
1.29 |
|
|
|
1.22 |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Current Liability Cov Ratio |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| Asset Efficiency Ratio |
11.57% |
12.90% |
11.22% |
8.88% |
6.40% |
10.02% |
11.81% |
11.65% |
3.16% |
14.05% |
18.53% |
13.94% |
17.78% |
15.24% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CFO / Total Assets |
|
SU |
|
| 5 year Median |
|
11.57% |
11.57% |
11.57% |
11.22% |
10.02% |
10.02% |
10.02% |
10.02% |
11.65% |
11.81% |
13.94% |
14.05% |
15.24% |
|
|
|
14.0% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Return on Assets |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| Return on Assets |
3.64% |
4.99% |
3.39% |
-2.57% |
0.49% |
4.98% |
3.68% |
3.24% |
-5.10% |
4.92% |
10.73% |
9.37% |
6.70% |
5.06% |
|
|
|
Net Income/Assets |
|
|
ROA |
|
SU |
|
| 5Yr Median |
|
4.99% |
4.99% |
3.64% |
3.39% |
3.39% |
3.39% |
3.24% |
3.24% |
3.68% |
3.68% |
4.92% |
6.70% |
6.70% |
|
|
|
6.7% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
ROA |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SU |
|
| ROE |
7.10% |
9.50% |
6.49% |
-5.11% |
0.97% |
9.82% |
7.48% |
6.90% |
-12.08% |
11.25% |
23.06% |
19.17% |
13.51% |
10.19% |
|
|
|
Net Income/Shareholders'
equity |
|
|
ROE |
|
SU |
|
| 5Yr Median |
|
9.50% |
9.50% |
7.10% |
6.49% |
6.49% |
6.49% |
6.90% |
6.90% |
7.48% |
7.48% |
11.25% |
13.51% |
13.51% |
|
|
|
13.5% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
ROE |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$6,095 |
<-12 mths |
1.31% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Income PCA to Suncor |
$2,783 |
$3,911 |
$2,699 |
-$1,995 |
$445 |
$4,458 |
$3,293 |
$2,899 |
-$4,319 |
$4,119 |
$9,077 |
$8,295 |
$6,016 |
|
|
|
|
122.90% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Net Income |
|
SU |
|
| NCI |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$11 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NCI |
|
SU |
|
| Shareholders Net Income |
$2,783 |
$3,911 |
$2,699 |
-$1,995 |
$434 |
$4,458 |
$3,293 |
$2,899 |
-$4,319 |
$4,119 |
$9,077 |
$8,295 |
$6,016 |
$4,513 |
$4,337 |
$5,146 |
|
122.90% |
<-Total Growth |
10 |
Shareholders Net Income |
|
SU |
|
| Increase |
-35.34% |
40.53% |
-30.99% |
-173.92% |
-121.75% |
927.19% |
-26.13% |
-11.96% |
-248.98% |
-195.37% |
120.37% |
-8.62% |
-27.47% |
-24.98% |
-3.90% |
18.65% |
|
EPS/CF Ratio should not be higher than 1.00 |
|
SU |
|
| 5 Yr Running Average |
|
$3,143 |
$3,454 |
$2,340 |
$1,566 |
$1,901 |
$1,778 |
$1,818 |
$1,353 |
$2,090 |
$3,014 |
$4,014 |
$4,638 |
$6,404 |
$6,448 |
$5,661 |
|
8.35% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
Net Income |
122.90% |
SU |
|
| Operating Cash Flow |
$8,846 |
$10,100 |
$8,936 |
$6,884 |
$5,680 |
$8,966 |
$10,580 |
$10,421 |
$2,675 |
$11,764 |
$15,680 |
$12,344 |
$15,960 |
|
|
|
|
15.72% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
Net Income |
107.52% |
SU |
|
| Investment Cash Flow |
-$6,645 |
-$6,533 |
-$6,863 |
-$6,771 |
-$7,507 |
-$5,019 |
-$6,697 |
-$5,088 |
-$4,524 |
-$3,977 |
-$4,789 |
-$6,511 |
-$6,472 |
|
|
|
|
2.99% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
10 |
5 Yr Running Average |
34.28% |
SU |
|
| Total Accruals |
$582 |
$344 |
$626 |
-$2,108 |
$2,261 |
$511 |
-$590 |
-$2,434 |
-$2,470 |
-$3,668 |
-$1,814 |
$2,462 |
-$3,472 |
|
|
|
|
20.60% |
<-IRR #YR-> |
5 |
5 Yr Running Average |
155.12% |
SU |
|
| Total Assets |
$76,449 |
$78,315 |
$79,671 |
$77,527 |
$88,702 |
$89,494 |
$89,579 |
$89,435 |
$84,616 |
$83,739 |
$84,618 |
$88,539 |
$89,784 |
|
|
|
|
|
Balance Sheet |
|
Assets |
|
SU |
|
| Accruals Ratio |
0.76% |
0.44% |
0.79% |
-2.72% |
2.55% |
0.57% |
-0.66% |
-2.72% |
-2.92% |
-4.38% |
-2.14% |
2.78% |
-3.87% |
|
|
|
|
-2.92% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Ratio |
|
SU |
|
| EPS/CF Ratio |
0.28 |
0.40 |
0.29 |
-0.29 |
0.08 |
0.48 |
0.31 |
0.26 |
-1.11 |
0.39 |
0.48 |
0.61 |
0.42 |
|
|
|
|
0.35 |
<-Median-> |
10 |
EPS/CF Ratio |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$2,699 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$6,016 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$2,899 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$6,016 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$3,454 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$4,638 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-$1,818 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$4,638 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Chge in Close |
11.33% |
13.85% |
-0.91% |
-3.20% |
22.90% |
5.13% |
-17.38% |
11.62% |
-49.84% |
17.24% |
26.77% |
34.07% |
20.62% |
6.92% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|
|
count |
17 |
Change in Close |
|
SU |
|
| up/down/neutral |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
count |
1 |
|
|
SU |
|
| Any Predictions? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% right |
count |
1 |
100.00% |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Financial Cash Flow |
-$1,592 |
-$2,832 |
-$1,872 |
-$1,854 |
$869 |
-$4,223 |
-$4,426 |
-$5,537 |
$1,786 |
-$7,464 |
-$11,228 |
-$5,990 |
-$7,882 |
|
|
|
|
C F Statement |
|
Financial CF |
|
SU |
|
| Total Accruals |
$2,174 |
$3,176 |
$2,498 |
-$254 |
$1,392 |
$4,734 |
$3,836 |
$3,103 |
-$4,256 |
$3,796 |
$9,414 |
$8,452 |
$4,410 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accruals |
|
SU |
|
| Accruals Ratio |
2.84% |
4.06% |
3.14% |
-0.33% |
1.57% |
5.29% |
4.28% |
3.47% |
-5.03% |
4.53% |
11.13% |
9.55% |
4.91% |
|
|
|
|
4.91% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Ratio |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cash |
$4,393 |
$5,202 |
$5,495 |
$4,049 |
$3,016 |
$2,672 |
$2,221 |
$1,960 |
$1,885 |
$2,205 |
$1,980 |
$1,729 |
$3,484 |
$2,773 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash |
|
SU |
|
| Cash per Share |
$2.88 |
$3.52 |
$3.81 |
$2.80 |
$1.81 |
$1.63 |
$1.40 |
$1.28 |
$1.24 |
$1.53 |
$1.48 |
$1.34 |
$2.80 |
$2.23 |
|
|
|
$1.48 |
<-Median-> |
5 |
Cash per Share |
|
SU |
|
| Percentage of Stock
Price |
8.82% |
9.45% |
10.31% |
7.84% |
4.12% |
3.53% |
3.68% |
3.01% |
5.79% |
6.11% |
4.67% |
3.15% |
5.46% |
4.06% |
|
|
|
5.46% |
<-Median-> |
5 |
% of Stock Price |
|
SU |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Notes: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Note: Next year consider getting only Suncor info
prior to 2009. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| July 3,
2025. Last estimates were for |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| June 30,
2024. Last estimates were for 2023 and
2024 of $46646M, $43956M Revenue,
$11.29, $11.55 AFFO, $5.65, $5.99, $5.80 2023/5 AEPS, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| $5.61, $5.34
EPS, $2.13, $2.27 Dividends,$8078M, $7650M FCF, $10.10, $10.30 CFPS, $32.30,
$35.70 BVPS, $7760M, $6346M Net Income. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| June 30,
2023. Last estimates were for 2022,
2023 and 2024 of $57336M, $51335M and $46920M for Revenue, $8.17, $7.10 and
$5.97 for EPS, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| $1.82, $1.93
and $2.22 for Dividends, 13129M and $11201M for FCF for 2022/3, $7.40, $8.62
and $9.84 for CFPS, $11529M, $8554M and $7,194M for Net Income. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| July 3,
2022. Last estimates were for 2021,
2022 and 2023 of 35975M, $35259M and $35802M for Revenue, $1.99, 2.72 and
$2.23 for EPS, $0.84, $0.95 and $1.16 for Dividends, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| $6273M, $5982M
and $5410M for FCF, $6.76, $7.42 and $8.08 for CFPS, and $3019M, $4015M and
$3188M for Net Income. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| June 27,
2021. Last estimates were for 2020,
2021 and 2022 of $23706M, $28246M and $30169M for Revenue, -$3.02, $0.72 and
$2.01 for EPS, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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| $1.08, $0.99
an $0.97 for Dividends, -$678M, $1401M and $3285M for FCF, $2.26, $4.37 and
$6.07 for CFPS, and -$5552, $846 and $3074 for Net Income. |
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| June 28,
2020. Last estimates were for 2019,
2020, and 2021 of $39535M, $40279M and $38447M for Revenue, $3.67, $3.49 and
$3.81 for EPS, |
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| $7.31, $7.71
and $8.13 for CFPS and $5566M, $5385M and $5692M for Net Income. |
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| July 6,
2019. Last estimates were for 2018,
2019 and 2020 of 39106M, $40550M and $42406M for Revenue, $2.90, 3.76 and
3.69 for EPS, |
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| $6.62, $7.68 and $7.73 for CFPS and $4626,
$917 and $5648 for Net Income. |
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| July 4,
2018. Last estimate were for 2017,
2018 and 2019 of $33952M, $36402M and $37, 438M for Revenus, $2.14, $2.21 and
$2.74 for EPS, |
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| $5.46, $6.19
and $6.73 for CFPS and $3765M, $4000M and $4353M for Net Income. |
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| July 2, 2017,
Last estimates were for 2016, 2017 and 2018 of $26771M, $34704M and $38840M
for Revenue, -$0.12, $1.12 and $2.15 for EPS, |
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| $3.19, $5.10
and $5.84 for CFPS and $414M, $1871M and $2725M for Net Income. |
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| June 26,
2016. Last estimates were for 2015,
2016 and 2017 of $32322M, $35570M, and $39056M for Revenue, $0.65, $1.69 and
2.10 for EPS, $4.57, $5.43 and $6.19 for CFPS |
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| and $513M,
$2308M and 2912M for Net Income. |
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| July 9,
2015. Last estimates were for 2014,
2015 and 2016 of $40957M, $41639M and $45038M for Revenue, $3.77 and $3.78
and $3.81 for EPS, |
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| $7.30, $7.43
and $7.43 for CFPS and $5528M, $5516M and $5244M for Net Income. |
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| June 29,
2014. Last estimates were for 2012 and
2013 of $40.329M and $42044M for Revenue, $3.21 and $3.45 for EPS and 2012 to
2014 for CFPS at $6.22, $6.37 and $6.75. |
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| Last estimates
wee for 2011 and 2012 of $41142M and $43609M for Revenue $3.00 and $3.30 for
EPS and $5.80 and $6.12 for EPS. |
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| Oct 16,
2011. The last estimates I got for
2010 and 2011 were $1.52 and $2.39 for EPS and $3.93 and $5.52 for CF. |
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| 2009 Merged
with Suncor. Petro-Canada's symbol was PCA in August 2009. My figures are from Petro-Can |
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| The proposed
arrangement, announced Monday, would see Petro-Canada equity holders receive
1.28 shares in the new company for each Petro-Canada share, resulting in
existing investors getting a 40 per cent |
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| piece of the
merged entity. The stock deal gives
Petro-Canada investors a 25 per cent premium compared with the share price
over the past 30 days, the two companies estimated. |
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| Suncor
shareholders would own the remaining 60 per cent of the new firm. |
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| Suncor says
that 50% of assets came from Petro-Can and they now get 25% of revenue from
Petro-Can |
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| Changes to
the spreadsheet. The Petro-Can share owners got 1.28 shares for every share
and now own 40% of the company. For
changes to the stock price, I just divided the share price |
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| by 1.28 to
get relative value. For number of
shares, I took original number times 1.28 to get how many Petro-Can
sharesholders get and then dividend by 40% as they only own 40% of the new
Suncor Company. |
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| For all per
share values, I divided the original one from my spreadsheets by 1.28 to get
new value per share to compare with 2009. |
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| Revenue seem
really off. Petro-Can showed revenues
of $27M in 2008, but in the Suncor annual statement, it says that only 25% of
the revenues came from Petro-Can |
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| That would
imply that Petro-Can revenues dropped from 27M to 6.37M. |
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| Petro-Can.
Revenue from the sale of crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids,
purchased products and refined petroleum products is recorded when title
passes to the customer. |
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| Revenue
represents the Company's share and is recorded net of royalty payments to
governments and other mineral interest owners. |
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| My figures are
from Petro-Can into merger with Suncor. |
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| 1919. Suncor was founded in 1919 in Montreal as
Sun Company of Canada, a subsidiary of Sun Oil (now Sunoco). |
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| Sector: |
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| Energy, Resources |
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| What should
this stock accomplish? |
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| Would I buy
this company and Why. |
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| Yes, I
would. However, I would only buy at
times when the dividend yield was at 1%. |
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| Why am I following this
stock. |
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| I started
following this stock as Petro-Canada (TSX-PCA). It was on Mike Higgs' list of dividend
growth stocks. This was also a key
stock for the Investment Reporter. |
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| My spreadsheet
follows PCA into SU. PCA and SU merged
in 2009. |
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| Dividends |
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| Dividends are
paid in Cycle 3, which is March, June, September
and December. Dividends are declared
for shareholders of record in a month and paid in that month. |
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| However, since
the shareholder of record date is close to the
beginning of the month the ex-dividend date can be in the prior month. |
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| For example
the dividends paid on March 25, 2013 were paid for
shareholders of record of March 4, 2013.
The ex-dividend date was February 28, 2013. |
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| How they make their
money. |
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| Suncor Energy
Inc is an integrated energy company.
The company's operating segments include Oil Sands, Exploration &
Production, Refining & Marketing (R&M), and |
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| Corporate
& eliminations. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its
revenue from Canada. |
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| For most
ratios, lower is better when looking for a good stock price. However, there are exceptions such as for
yield and asset/liability ratios and here you want a higher ratios to
indicate a good stock price. |
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| Also, for the
Operational Profit Margin, a higher percentage is better. With the OPM, you should only compare
companies in similar industries. |
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| Shares; '%, Value $M |
|
Shares |
%, Val $M |
Shares |
%, Val $M |
Shares |
%, Val $M |
Shares |
%, Val $M |
Shares |
%, Val $M |
Shares |
%, Val $M |
Shares |
%, Val $M |
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Shares |
%, Val $M |
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Change |
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| Date |
|
Jul 4 |
2018 |
Jul 6 |
2019 |
Jun 28 |
2020 |
Jun 27 |
2021 |
Jul 3 |
2022 |
Jul 1 |
2023 |
Jun 30 |
2024 |
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Jul 4 |
2025 |
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| Kruger, Richard Michael |
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|
0.000 |
0.00% |
0.000 |
0.00% |
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0.000 |
0.00% |
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#DIV/0! |
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| CEO - Shares - Amount |
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$0.000 |
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$0.000 |
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$0.000 |
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| Options - percentage |
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|
0.987 |
0.08% |
1.162 |
0.09% |
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1.328 |
0.11% |
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14.28% |
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| Options - amount |
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$41.991 |
|
$59.641 |
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$72.871 |
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| Lttle, Mark Stephen |
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|
0.056 |
0.08% |
0.074 |
0.00% |
0.098 |
0.01% |
0.118 |
0.01% |
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#DIV/0! |
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| CEO - Shares - Amount |
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|
$2.372 |
|
$1.580 |
|
$2.442 |
|
$3.742 |
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| Options - percentage |
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|
2.202 |
0.08% |
2.755 |
0.18% |
3.279 |
0.23% |
3.324 |
0.25% |
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|
#DIV/0! |
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| Options - amount |
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|
$93.720 |
|
$58.810 |
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$82.080 |
|
$105.459 |
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| Williams, Steven Walter |
|
0.412 |
0.03% |
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| CEO - Shares - Amount |
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$15.697 |
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| Options - percentage |
|
5.645 |
0.36% |
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| Options - amount |
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$215.242 |
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| Smith Kristopher Peter |
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|
0.060 |
0.00% |
0.082 |
0.01% |
0.086 |
0.01% |
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|
0.090 |
0.01% |
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4.52% |
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| CFO - Shares - Amount |
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|
$1.917 |
|
$3.482 |
|
$4.428 |
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$4.948 |
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| Options - percentage |
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|
1.537 |
0.11% |
1.583 |
0.12% |
1.396 |
0.11% |
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|
1.214 |
0.10% |
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-12.99% |
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| Options - amount |
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$48.756 |
|
$67.346 |
|
$71.606 |
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$66.616 |
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| Cowan, Alister |
|
0.017 |
0.00% |
0.058 |
0.08% |
0.058 |
0.00% |
0.058 |
0.00% |
0.058 |
0.00% |
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#DIV/0! |
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| CFO - Shares - Amount |
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|
$0.643 |
|
$2.467 |
|
$1.238 |
|
$1.451 |
|
$1.839 |
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| Options - percentage |
|
1.177 |
0.07% |
1.394 |
0.08% |
1.551 |
0.10% |
1.796 |
0.12% |
1.491 |
0.11% |
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|
#DIV/0! |
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| Options - amount |
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|
$44.863 |
|
$59.324 |
|
$33.107 |
|
$44.965 |
|
$47.298 |
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| Ferjuson, kent Donald |
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|
|
|
|
0.050 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.066 |
0.01% |
|
|
31.36% |
|
|
| Officer - Shares -
Amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$2.566 |
|
|
|
$3.603 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.130 |
0.01% |
|
|
0.152 |
0.01% |
|
|
16.78% |
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$6.659 |
|
|
|
$8.315 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Moore, Jacqueline Sue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.020 |
0.00% |
0.022 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.024 |
0.00% |
|
|
10.59% |
|
|
| Officer - Shares -
Amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$0.831 |
|
$1.126 |
|
|
|
$1.332 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.208 |
0.02% |
0.234 |
0.02% |
|
|
0.178 |
0.01% |
|
|
-23.81% |
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$8.846 |
|
$12.003 |
|
|
|
$9.778 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bedient, Patricia |
|
|
|
|
|
0.000 |
0.00% |
0.000 |
0.00% |
0.000 |
0.00% |
0.001 |
0.00% |
0.005 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.011 |
0.00% |
|
|
100.45% |
|
|
| Director - Shares -
Amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$0.000 |
|
$0.000 |
|
$0.000 |
|
$0.044 |
|
$0.272 |
|
|
|
$0.582 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
0.044 |
0.00% |
0.057 |
0.00% |
0.068 |
0.01% |
0.076 |
0.01% |
0.080 |
0.01% |
|
|
0.084 |
0.01% |
|
|
5.49% |
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$0.937 |
|
$1.438 |
|
$2.158 |
|
$3.233 |
|
$4.092 |
|
|
|
$4.615 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| MacDonald, Brian Patrick |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.013 |
0.00% |
0.013 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.013 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.00% |
|
|
| Director - Shares -
Amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$0.553 |
|
$0.667 |
|
|
|
$0.713 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.057 |
0.00% |
0.067 |
0.01% |
|
|
0.080 |
0.01% |
|
|
19.84% |
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$2.422 |
|
$3.444 |
|
|
|
$4.414 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gass, John |
|
|
|
|
|
0.007 |
0.00% |
0.007 |
0.00% |
0.007 |
0.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ceased insider Dec 2022 |
#DIV/0! |
|
|
| Director - Shares -
Amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$0.143 |
|
$0.168 |
|
$0.213 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
0.056 |
0.00% |
0.070 |
0.00% |
0.078 |
0.01% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
#DIV/0! |
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$1.204 |
|
$1.742 |
|
$2.482 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gladu, Jean Paul |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001 |
0.00% |
0.004 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.007 |
0.00% |
|
|
97.15% |
|
|
| Director - Shares -
Amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$0.035 |
|
$0.182 |
|
|
|
$0.383 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31.931 |
2.48% |
0.034 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.035 |
0.00% |
|
|
5.49% |
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$1,358.345 |
|
$1.719 |
|
|
|
$1.939 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Girling, Russell |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.057 |
0.00% |
0.057 |
0.00% |
0.057 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.069 |
0.01% |
|
Was a director Chair 2024 |
21.20% |
|
|
| Chairman - Shares - Amt |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$1.796 |
|
$2.408 |
|
$2.904 |
|
|
|
$3.764 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009 |
0.00% |
0.017 |
0.00% |
0.026 |
0.00% |
|
|
0.042 |
0.00% |
|
|
62.39% |
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$0.289 |
|
$0.724 |
|
$1.311 |
|
|
|
$2.277 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Wilson, Michael M. |
|
0.010 |
0.00% |
0.010 |
0.08% |
0.010 |
0.00% |
0.010 |
0.00% |
0.020 |
0.00% |
0.020 |
0.00% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Chairman - Shares - Amt |
|
|
$0.381 |
|
$0.426 |
|
$0.214 |
|
$0.250 |
|
$0.635 |
|
$0.851 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ceased insider May 2024 |
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
0.050 |
0.00% |
0.065 |
0.08% |
0.087 |
0.01% |
0.109 |
0.01% |
0.130 |
0.01% |
0.149 |
0.01% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
$1.914 |
|
$2.745 |
|
$1.854 |
|
$2.718 |
|
$4.130 |
|
$6.357 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Chairman - Shares - Amt |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Subsidiary Executive |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - percentage |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Options - amount |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Increase in O/S Shares |
0.24% |
6.223 |
0.38% |
7.927 |
0.50% |
2.688 |
0.18% |
0.804 |
0.05% |
0.245 |
0.02% |
13.158 |
0.98% |
4.611 |
0.36% |
|
|
9.796 |
0.79% |
|
Average |
376.36% |
|
|
| due to SO 2013 |
$169.516 |
|
$132.861 |
|
$198.413 |
|
$85.290 |
|
$34.202 |
|
$7.774 |
|
$559.741 |
|
$236.590 |
|
|
|
$537.409 |
|
See Changes in Equity |
|
|
|
| Book Value |
$132.000 |
|
$297.000 |
|
$331.000 |
|
$116.000 |
|
$29.000 |
|
$8.000 |
|
$512.000 |
|
$181.000 |
|
|
|
$447.000 |
|
last column |
|
|
|
| Insider Buying |
-$1.456 |
|
-$1.694 |
|
-$3.915 |
|
-$0.854 |
|
-$1.305 |
|
-$2.110 |
|
-$1.305 |
|
-$0.085 |
|
|
|
-$1.455 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Insider Selling |
$19.953 |
|
$78.646 |
|
$25.144 |
|
$9.567 |
|
$0.026 |
|
$15.084 |
|
$12.072 |
|
$18.646 |
|
|
|
$14.510 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Insider Selling |
$18.498 |
|
$76.952 |
|
$21.230 |
|
$8.714 |
|
-$1.279 |
|
$12.974 |
|
$10.767 |
|
$18.561 |
|
|
|
$13.055 |
|
|
|
|
|
| % of Market Cap |
0.02% |
|
0.13% |
|
0.03% |
|
0.03% |
|
0.00% |
|
0.03% |
|
0.02% |
|
0.03% |
|
|
|
0.02% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Directors |
|
10 |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
11 |
|
10 |
|
13 |
|
11 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women |
36% |
4 |
40% |
3 |
33% |
4 |
44% |
4 |
36% |
4 |
40% |
4 |
31% |
4 |
36% |
|
|
4 |
36% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Minorities |
0% |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0% |
|
|
0 |
0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Institutions/Holdings |
66.73% |
587 |
66.64% |
611 |
66.09% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total Shares Held |
67.88% |
1,088.820 |
68.72% |
1,038.323 |
67.78% |
|
|
20 |
56.03% |
20 |
42.22% |
20 |
42.23% |
20 |
53.49% |
|
|
20 |
43.88% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Increase/Decrease |
0.05% |
5.791 |
0.53% |
-6.951 |
-0.67% |
|
|
844.038 |
55.34% |
596.756 |
44.62% |
553.092 |
42.87% |
687.852 |
53.32% |
|
|
538.624 |
43.29% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Starting No. of Shares |
NASDAQ |
1,083.029 |
NASDAQ |
1,045.275 |
NASDAQ |
|
|
-32.601 |
-3.72% |
-28.215 |
-4.51% |
37.379 |
7.25% |
141.779 |
25.96% |
|
|
6.247 |
1.17% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
876.639 |
Top 20 MS |
624.971 |
Top 20 MS |
515.713 |
Top 20 MS |
546.073 |
Top 20 MS |
|
|
532.377 |
Top 20 MS |
|
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| Copyright ©
2008 Website of SPBrunner. All rights reserved. |
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